Beware of Bias in Emerging-Market Data
We
want to believe that data is an objective, critical input for strategic
planning and operations. But any data can be biased, leading executives
to make misguided investment decisions and putting a company’s
reputation and jobs at risk. This problem is exacerbated in emerging
markets. For example, organizations tend to use local governments’
historical data, which may reflect whatever agenda the government has.
While developed markets have stronger institutions that can challenge
government estimates, this often is not the case in emerging markets,
leaving data more susceptible to political interference. Don’t blindly
trust data, even when it comes from a reputable source. Make sure that
the data has been collected by sources with no interest in dressing up
the numbers. Find out whether the figures were reviewed by analysts with
in-depth market knowledge. And always question any potential
motivations behind the numbers.
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